Chinese laborers - raw materials, big price increases, when will the manufacturing industry usher in spring?

Annual Spring Festival approaching, often home appliances sales promotion season, but this year, "painting style" mutation, including color TV, refrigerators, washing machines, including the price of electricity are showing an upward trend. Some analysts report and even predict that the festival will usher in a new round of home appliances Pu pu. Home appliance price increases, the rise in raw materials is the main reason. According to the National Bureau of Statistics "" data circulation of important production market price changes, from early October to early January this year, electrolytic copper, steel, coking coal, coke and other commodity prices are 20% to 37% increase.
And this wave of raw material prices, making industrial producer prices (PPI) rose, indicating that the positive factors in the manufacturing sector, the manufacturing sector into the steady recovery of the channel. However, in the face of price surge, the influence degree of different types of enterprises are not the same, which is a process of re shuffle the mighty wave crashing on a sandy shore, can hardly be avoided.
Late last year, big raw material prices
Foshan, Lecong, is the largest steel trading base in Southern China, where Mr. Chen runs a steel trading company. 2014 and 2015, "stumble endlessly" steel prices, so that this is faced with a "life and death robbery" test. After some hard work, Mr. Chen's steel trading company survived, and in 2016 to achieve a substantial profit. For him, compared with the Spring Festival in 2016, this year's Spring Festival must be much happier.
"I didn't even drink soup last year. I can eat meat this year."." Mr. Chen told reporters that in the past year, he and his colleagues, experienced the "ice and snow days", down to the bottom of the steel prices, the first half of 2016 has picked up, after October is quickly pulled up. At its peak, the market average was nearly two times that of 2015. "Foshan steel trade enterprises in Lecong in 2016 are basically making money, we are generally optimistic about the market outlook, after the Spring Festival will rise again."."
In fact, not only the 2016 steel prices, other raw materials also rose, but have hit a new high for the year at the end of the year. As 6 kinds of non-ferrous metal prices in Foshan monitoring in January last year fell to 41058 yuan / ton lows began to rebound gradually rose to 58650 yuan / ton in December to the highest point of the year; 2 kinds of chemical products monitoring from January 3192 yuan / ton low 5188 yuan / ton in December rose to the highest point of the year.
This wave of rising prices of raw materials, on the one hand is the 2016 foreign commodity prices continued to rebound higher, on the other hand, the domestic downtown pressure on the economy tends to slow down, the supply side reforms and achieved certain results to production to inventory. Then, how about the price of raw materials in 2017? Foshan Municipal Development and Reform Bureau report pointed out that the price will continue to follow the production data of commodity price volatility upward, but the competitive environment in the domestic market and weak demand, prediction of raw materials prices to rise significantly this year is.
Experts say the manufacturing sector has picked up
Higher raw materials have increased the producer price (PPI) of industrial producers. Chinese manufacturing city of Foshan, December PPI rose 3.8% last year, or 1.7 percentage points last month to expand, the city's 33 monitoring industry, prices rose industry reached 25, the majority of the industry is showing positive growth.
In December last year, the PMI index of key enterprises in manufacturing enterprises in Foshan was 51.8%, up 1.1 percentage points from the previous month, higher than that of the whole country (51.4%). From the 11 sub indicators, the 9 indexes in more than 50% (including 50%), 2 index below 50%, indicating that Foshan's manufacturing industry is expanding.
Guangdong Economic Association executive vice president, Professor Zhu Weiping Dean of the Institute of industrial economics Jinan University believes that in December 2016, Foshan manufacturing industry key enterprises PMI greatly increases, showing the manufacturing industry in Foshan has been out of the first half of the stagnant situation, enter the steady rise of the channel.
The PMI in Foshan is not high in the province. In December 2016, Guangzhou PMI was 54.8 and 5 weight classification indexes were above 50 critical points. Deputy director of the Guangzhou Academy of Social Sciences researcher Dr. Yin Tao pointed out that in December, Guangzhou's PMI showed that the manufacturing sector in Guangzhou continued to maintain steady growth.
In December 2016, Guangdong's PMI was 52.2, up 0.2 percentage points from the previous month. Provincial Party School professor Chen Hongyu said, Guangdong December manufacturing PMI index is tenth months in a row above the ups and downs of the province's manufacturing enterprise production activities and domestic procurement activities significantly warmer, steady growth momentum into the more stable.
It is understood that PMI is a sign of the manufacturing sector's economic outlook and confidence. Guangdong 2016 manufacturing PMI overall low, high trend, indicating that the steady steady trend of manufacturing enterprises continue to consolidate, market confidence continues to increase. Some analysts pointed out that, in 2017, the manufacturing sector is still expected to continue in 2016 the good trend.
Enterprises face reshuffle
The rising tide of raw material prices is now sweeping China's manufacturing sector. In manufacturing packing paper commonly required for example: since August 2016, the domestic packaging box and other paper products usher in prices, rose to peak in December, according to the business community data, in 2016 the domestic waste paper prices rose to an average of 31.28%, or even in some areas nearly doubled.
In fact, the manufacturing enterprises face the rising raw materials, many need to face the pressure of increasing the cost burden. Dongguan furniture enterprises responsible person told the reporter, they are mainly the production of office furniture, the use of raw materials are wood, "did not react how it is, the price of raw materials will slow to rise, the profits thinned. Before the Spring Festival is not how to pick up orders, and then look at the festival."
Chinese Social Sciences